October 2022 Visa Bulletin Results & Analysis

The October 2022 Visa Bulletin has been released by the USCIS, with new priority dates listed for the month of October. The most notable change is with India EB2’s Final Action Date, which has regressed more than 2 years and 8 months. Let’s take a deeper dive into the results of the bulletin and what this means for green card hopefuls.

As mentioned in our October 2022 Visa Bulletin Predictions article, there appears to be a pattern each fiscal year of the USCIS narrowing the gap between India EB2 and EB3 priority dates. In the latest bulletin release, it was expected to see movement in EB3, and not in EB2. In the newly released October 2022 Visa Bulletin, the India EB2 and EB3 Final Action Dates do now match – but only due to an enormous regression in India EB2.

October 2022 Visa Bulletin Results

Family-Based

Final Action Dates

October 2022 Visa Bulletin Results & Analysis

Dates for Filing Applications

October 2022 Visa Bulletin Results & Analysis

Employment-Based

Final Action Dates

October 2022 Visa Bulletin Results & Analysis

Dates for Filing Applications

October 2022 Visa Bulletin Results & Analysis

October 2022 Visa Bulletin Analysis

Here are the key takeaways from the 2022 October Visa Bulletin:

  • India EB2 Date for Filing regressed by 2 years and 8 months
  • India EB3 Date for Filing advanced by 4 months
  • India EB2 Final Action Date regressed by 2 years and 8 months
  • India EB3 Final Action Date advanced by 1 month and 15 days

Other notable changes include:

  • Mexico F2A Final Action Date advanced by just over 3 years and 5 months
  • China EB2 Final Action Date advanced by 2 months
  • China EB3 Final Action Date advanced by 1 month and 23 days
  • Mexico EB4th Final Action Date advanced by 5 months
  • Mexico EB4 Date for Filing regressed by 1 year and 10 months
  • China EB2 Date for Filing advanced by 2 months
  • China EB3 Date for Filing advanced by 1 month and 24 days

In our predictions article, we noted that it was expected to see movement in the priority dates for India EB3, as it hadn’t moved in some time. It did make some movement – which is good. However, India EB2 regressed by an enormous 2 years and 8 months, which no one was expecting. We understand that those in the India EB2 category may be extremely frustrated with the news of this release. A regression of 2 years and 8 months is sizable, and makes the future of those patiently waiting in this green card category uncertain. The USCIS added a note in the bulletin explaining the regression, which we have summarized below.

The USCIS reported that rapid forward movements of the India EB2 Final Action and Date for Filing Application dates were implemented in FY 2022 in order to fill the maximum number of visas available – 281,507. This caused heavy applicant demand, and with the realization that there will be far fewer available visas in India EB2 for FY 2023, the USCIS needed to take corrective action. This corrective action resulted in the large regression in India EB2, and will allow the USCIS to keep the number of visas granted within the maximum allowed for FY 2023’s annual limits. 

What to Expect Moving Forward

With this news, the USCIS also mentioned that they will be monitoring this situation and will make adjustments accordingly. At this time, it doesn’t look like India EB2 will make much movement back to its September 2022 Visa Bulletin priority dates any time soon. 

We will continue to check future Visa Bulletins released from the USCIS to see what changes they plan to implement specifically for the India EB2 category, and if any movement can be expected for FY 2023.